Preseason Rankings
Santa Clara
West Coast
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#217
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.3#331
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#227
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#217
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.7% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 13.3 14.1
.500 or above 27.5% 32.9% 10.8%
.500 or above in Conference 21.0% 24.3% 10.9%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 25.7% 22.5% 35.8%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round0.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Prairie View (Home) - 75.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.1 - 2.60.1 - 2.6
Quad 1b0.2 - 2.00.3 - 4.6
Quad 20.8 - 3.81.0 - 8.4
Quad 32.6 - 4.83.6 - 13.3
Quad 48.5 - 3.612.1 - 16.9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 297   Prairie View W 73-69 76%    
  Nov 15, 2018 90   UC Irvine L 61-70 30%    
  Nov 18, 2018 42   Washington L 63-76 12%    
  Nov 20, 2018 68   Minnesota L 65-76 16%    
  Nov 24, 2018 321   @ San Jose St. W 68-61 62%    
  Nov 26, 2018 198   @ California L 67-68 36%    
  Nov 29, 2018 335   Jackson St. W 66-57 85%    
  Dec 01, 2018 326   Northern Arizona W 70-63 82%    
  Dec 07, 2018 247   Idaho St. W 70-68 65%    
  Dec 13, 2018 344   Mississippi Valley W 74-63 88%    
  Dec 18, 2018 58   USC L 63-75 22%    
  Dec 21, 2018 262   Idaho W 66-63 68%    
  Dec 29, 2018 191   @ Washington St. L 69-71 34%    
  Jan 03, 2019 121   San Diego L 63-69 38%    
  Jan 05, 2019 5   @ Gonzaga L 60-81 2%    
  Jan 10, 2019 234   Pepperdine W 70-69 62%    
  Jan 12, 2019 63   @ BYU L 61-73 12%    
  Jan 17, 2019 59   @ St. Mary's L 59-71 11%    
  Jan 19, 2019 168   @ Pacific L 66-69 31%    
  Jan 24, 2019 5   Gonzaga L 60-81 6%    
  Jan 26, 2019 165   Loyola Marymount L 67-70 49%    
  Feb 02, 2019 241   Portland W 67-66 64%    
  Feb 07, 2019 234   @ Pepperdine W 70-69 43%    
  Feb 09, 2019 137   @ San Francisco L 62-68 24%    
  Feb 14, 2019 59   St. Mary's L 59-71 23%    
  Feb 16, 2019 168   Pacific L 66-69 50%    
  Feb 23, 2019 137   San Francisco L 62-68 42%    
  Feb 28, 2019 165   @ Loyola Marymount L 67-70 31%    
  Mar 02, 2019 241   @ Portland W 67-66 44%    
Projected Record 12.1 - 16.9 5.3 - 10.7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.6 2.9 1.4 0.2 7.5 4th
5th 0.6 3.5 4.4 1.5 0.2 0.0 10.1 5th
6th 0.6 4.3 5.3 1.6 0.2 0.0 12.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 5.6 6.0 1.5 0.0 13.8 7th
8th 0.0 1.3 5.6 7.0 1.7 0.1 15.8 8th
9th 0.2 2.2 6.9 6.5 1.6 0.1 17.6 9th
10th 1.5 4.5 5.6 4.3 1.2 0.1 17.1 10th
Total 1.5 4.7 7.8 12.6 14.0 14.9 12.7 10.9 8.8 5.7 3.7 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 42.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-3 22.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-4 7.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.1% 22.4% 22.4% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 22.4%
13-3 0.3% 19.5% 1.4% 18.1% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 18.3%
12-4 0.8% 5.8% 0.6% 5.2% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 5.3%
11-5 1.6% 4.2% 3.2% 1.0% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 1.0%
10-6 3.7% 2.1% 1.7% 0.4% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.6 0.4%
9-7 5.7% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.6 0.0%
8-8 8.8% 1.0% 1.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.7
7-9 10.9% 0.4% 0.4% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8
6-10 12.7% 0.1% 0.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.7
5-11 14.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.8
4-12 14.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.0
3-13 12.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.6
2-14 7.8% 7.8
1-15 4.7% 4.7
0-16 1.5% 1.5
Total 100% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.5 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%